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Research

KN Market View

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Economics - Russia is constructing over 10 nuclear reactors abroad to meet growing energy demands fueled by artificial intelligence and emerging markets.

Bonds and Currencies - Turkey cuts rates as recession looms. Brazil battles inflation amid rising yields and a weakening real.

Commodities - Cocoa on profit-taking mode after trading near its all-time high.

Equities - Japan outperformed the broader markets closing 4.08%, Russia continued with its positive trend ending 3.12% higher.

Crypto - Bitcoin's volatility, a resistance at $100K and what lies ahead.

Weekly Paper Picks - Monetary policy in the news: communication pass-through and inflation expectations.

KN Market View 2024-12-29

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Key Events - Japan's annual inflation rate rose to 2.9% in November, reaching its highest level since October 2023.

Government Bonds and Currencies - The Fed cuts rates as the yield curve shows signs of normalization

Commodities - Silver and natural gas facing a ton of selling pressure.

Stocks - FED’s interest rate decision adds volatility and uncertainty to US markets.

Crypto - Bitcoin in the Eye of the Storm: Impact of Fed Comments and Market Sentiment

Weekly Paper Picks - A Deep Learning Approach for Trading Factor Residuals

KN Market View 2024-12-22

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Key Events - Germany is expected to experience another year of economic stagnation.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Global Central Banks: Spotlight on key decisions this week

Commodities - Cocoa Surges on Supply Woes, Natural Gas Dips Amid Mild Weather

Stocks - Contrasting Fortunes: France's Market Rally vs. New Zealand's Weekly Decline

Crypto - Bitcoin Surges Amid Trump’s Strategic Crypto Plans

Weekly Paper Picks - What drives robo-advice?

KN Market View 2024-12-15

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Key Events - India's central bank held its benchmark interest rate steady at 6.50% on Friday, aiming to balance rising inflation.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Won under pressure: political shocks and market volatility in South Korea

Commodities - Silver Prices Hold Firm on Fed Rate Cut Bets and Global Uncertainty

Stocks - Contrasting Fortunes: France's Market Rally vs. New Zealand's Weekly Decline

Crypto - Altcoins take center stage as Bitcoin approaches $100,000 milestone

Weekly Paper Picks - The Drift Burst Hypothesis

KN Market View 2024-12-08

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Key Events - President Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on the BRIC alliance, should they take actions to undermine the U.S. dollar.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Brazilian Real hits record high at 5.97 reais per dollar amid fiscal concerns. Japanese Yen strengthens on rate hike expectations ahead of BOJ meeting.

Commodities - Gasoline prices dip amid middle east truce and US tariff tensions.

Stocks - Shanghai posted a nice 1.81% WoW return, while Brazilian markets experienced a -2.68% return.

Crypto - Altcoins take center stage as Bitcoin approaches $100,000 milestone.

Weekly Paper Picks - Backtest overfitting in the machine learning era.

KN Market View 2024-12-01

Main Topics
Key Events - Beijing is deepening its economic engagement with Latin America.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Recent events increased pressure on the ruble.

Commodities - IEA’s prediction on oil surplus for 2025 estimated more than 1 million bpd of exceeding supply.

Stocks - Earnings reports boost US market performance.

Crypto - Altcoins Take Center Stage as Bitcoin Approaches $100,000 Milestone

Weekly Paper Picks - Oversupply Could Mute Effects of Wider Middle-East Conflict on Oil Prices.

KN Market View 2024-11-24

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Key Events - Donal Trump's election win has raised concerns about higher tariffs on China, but other Asian countries may also be affected.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell praised the U.S. economy’s recent performance as “remarkably good,” allowing for a more measured approach to interest rate cuts.

Commodities - IEA’s prediction on oil surplus for 2025 estimated more than 1 million bpd of exceeding supply.

Stocks - Hong Kong markets had a tough week with a decline of -6.28%.

Crypto - Cryptocurrency market surges to $3.2 trillion amid optimism for pro-crypto policies.

Paper of the week - Oversupply Could Mute Effects of Wider Middle-East Conflict on Oil Prices.

KN Market View 2024-11-17

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Main Topics
Key Events - Donald Trump is set to make a historic return to the White House following his victory in the 2024 U.S. election.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Fed Rate Cuts and Yield Curve Shifts Amid Economic and Political Changes.

Commodities - WTI Oil Rises Amid Iran-Israel Tensions and OPEC+ Speculation.

Stocks - US Elections brought volatility to global markets.

Crypto - Bitcoin Reaches $76,000 Amid Potential Regulatory Shift

Paper of the week - Generating long-horizon stock "buy" signals with a neural language model.

KN Market View 2024-11-10

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Key Events - Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election is set to be a highly anticipated event.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Brazil's Fiscal Crossroads: Inflation, Spending Cuts, and Market Uncertainty.

Commodities - WTI Oil Rises Amid Iran-Israel Tensions and OPEC+ Speculation.

Stocks - S&P 500 performance 100 days after the election is positive in most cases, excluding 2000 and 2008.

Crypto - Bitcoin Hits $72K

Paper of the week - Generating long-horizon stock "buy" signals with a neural language model.

KN Market View 2024-11-03

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Key Events - The Bank of Canada has reduced interest rates by a substantial half a percentage point, bringing them down to 3.75%.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Japanese Yen Depreciates Amid Political Uncertainty and Upcoming Elections

Commodities - Gasoline Futures Dip Amid Rising US Stockpiles and China’s Fuel Glut

Stocks - Major US companies reporting.

Crypto - Cryptocurrency Short Term Outlook

Paper of the week - Risk Premia in the Bitcoin Market

KN Market View 2024-10-27

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Main Topics

Key Events - The ECB reduced its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, aligning with expectations.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Latin American Currencies End a Tough Week Against the Dollar

Commodities - Silver Hits 12-Year High Amid Political Uncertainty and Global Tensions

Stocks - Italy with the biggest week over week gain.

Crypto - Bitcoin: A Hedge Against Inflation in a Volatile Market?

Paper of the week - Exploring the Interplay of Skewness and Kurtosis: Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic.

KN Market View 2024-10-20

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Key Events - China's year-over-year inflation rate was 0.4% signaling the increasing need to implement measures to counter rising deflationary pressures.

Government Bonds and Currencies - Brazil's Real Depreciation and Fiscal Concerns Spark Investor Worries.

Commodities - Cocoa Futures Soar on Supply Woes Despite Strong Ghana Harvest.

Stocks - Keeping up with the Asians.

Crypto - Market Pulse: Stability Amidst a Crypto Rollercoaster.

Paper of the week - Detecting Structural breakpoints in natural gas and electricity wholesale prices via Bayesian ensemble approach

KN Market View 2024-13-10

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